Abu Dujana killing, bickering militant groups, uncertainty in Pakistan spell political opportunity in Kashmir
With the killing of Lashkar-e-Taiba (LET), Abu Dujana, in the Pulwama district of southern Kashmir on Tuesday the terrorist infrastructure of Jammu and Kashmir will be further reduced, while more than 100 militants from various teams , Have been neutralized in the state until July of this year.
LeT find a replacement soon, perhaps Abu Ismail – the “brain” of the attack on the pilgrims of Amarnath. Pakistani costume may consider attacking a high-level target to vitiate the earth’s atmosphere to avenge the Dujana massacre and to elevate the morale of its agents in the valley.
This may have consequences for security in Kashmir, which witnessed the violent conflicts following the assassination of Hizbul Mujhaideen commander Buran Wani in July 2016.
However, other major political and security events that took place over a month may have an impact on the overall situation in the state.
First, the July 10 attack on Amarnath pilgrims, which turned out to be a turning point in the state, while people from different strata of society – military, political and civil – the condemned ‘unfortunate attack on devotees Innocent
While denouncing the incident, Interior Minister Rajnath Singh defended “Kashmiriyat (syncretic culture of Kashmir)” and Twitter that “all Caxmiris are not terrorists.”
Similarly, the chief minister of Jammu and Kashmir, Mehbooba Mufti, unequivocally censured the murder and suggested that the attack was intended to “disrupt communal harmony” in the state.
Even the separatist leaders of the Hurriyat Conference disapproved of the violent act against pilgrims. On the contrary, the incident led the united leaders of divergent political spectrum, whom they considered as an attack against the syncretic and plural society of Kashmir.
The tragedy has improved coordination among alliance partners – the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and the People’s Democratic Party (PDP).
Message attack on pilgrims from Amarnath, Mufti has been proactively committed to the Center and BJP state leaders to avoid any community outbreak in the state, while New Delhi has denied all speculation the kingdom of the governor of Jammu and Kashmir.
As the incident occurred in the Mufti (Anantnag) constituency, the PDP has found a close opportunity to rebuild its lost base of support in southern Kashmir.
Various confidence-building measures (ECMs) such as renewal of inter-regional dialogue, socio-cultural events and normal communication with the student community, among others began to develop, which can give the coalition government the opportunity the state.
Second, Al Qaeda propaganda channel, the Global Islamic Media Front announced on July 24 that Zakir Musa, former commander of Hizbul Mujahideen, will lead the new cell of the “Ghawzat Ansar-ul-Hind” team in Kashmir.
The announcement came after Musa has published a series of confusing audio messages “Kashmir struggle” with “Islamic cause” that has nothing to do with “nationalism”.
On the other hand, it threatened to discourage separatist leaders, especially those who “describe Kashmir as a simple political problem” and not a religious war for an Islamic state.
Their statements showed an apparent change (or cracks) in local militant groups, which was confirmed after Al-Qaeda’s latest announcement.
LeT has alleged that India was trying to label local activism as “terrorism” involving the entry of Al Qaeda and the Islamic state in Kashmir.
Similarly, the head of the Jihad Council based unified by Pakistan (UJC), Syed Salahuddin has published a video in which he discredited the internationalization of the “struggle against freedom of Kashmir” and indirectly Dujana qualified as an Indian agent.